The latest coronavirus R rate for Birmingham and the West Midlands could be as high as 1 – with cases still rising.
Birmingham has 31 cases per 100,000 people, an increase from last week, according to the latest figures from Public Health England.
The R rate number for the region is 0.8 to 1.0, according to the latest data. This is unchanged from last week.
Figures show the rate is the same in the East of England and North East, as well as Yorkshire. But in London, the figure could be as high as 1.1.
The South West could also have a figure as high as 1.1, with the North West and South East 0.8 to 1.0.
When the R value is below one, it means transmission is low and the epidemic is shrinking – but a number greater than 1 suggests it’s growing.
Epidemiologists warn that that the statics need to be interpreted carefully as comparatively low deaths and case numbers mean there can be variation based on small changes in the actual number of cases.
The growth rate of coronavirus transmission, which reflects how quickly the number of infections is changing day by day, has also changed slightly across the UK since last week, with early indications the value may be increasing.
Recent changes in transmission are not yet fully reflected in the estimates because the data used to calculate R and growth rate reflect the situation from a few weeks ago.
The latest R rate
East of England 0.8-1.0 / -5 to 0
London 0.9-1.1 / -3 to +2
Midlands 0.8-1.0 / -6 to 0
North East and Yorkshire 0.8-1.0 / -3 to 0
North West 0.8-1.0 / -3 to 0
South East 0.8-1.0 / -4 to +1
South West 0.8-1.1 / -4 to +1